Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 7.847415 9.101873 10.452881 12.011348 13.754672 15.639804 17.827422
2025-12-21 6.069731 7.731117 9.654354 12.027035 14.856045 18.101160 22.083842
2025-12-28 5.150843 7.045386 9.360433 12.359906 16.102322 20.574852 26.276960
2026-01-04 4.456490 6.483859 9.078498 12.581041 17.117134 22.720557 30.083900
2026-01-11 3.859041 5.944127 8.727741 12.626206 17.843790 24.477032 33.422791
2026-01-18 3.248181 5.294986 8.143274 12.276662 17.984432 25.439359 35.738311
2026-01-25 2.773040 4.772046 7.665086 12.004514 18.171092 26.424464 38.075082
2026-02-01 2.367439 4.297494 7.199629 11.693077 18.254331 27.239164 40.178614
2026-02-08 2.032643 3.888389 6.784409 11.406712 18.331600 28.019388 42.232197
2026-02-15 1.732763 3.495841 6.351777 11.049179 18.265284 28.571440 43.962542
2026-02-22 1.564739 3.305659 6.217268 11.129506 18.835530 30.031567 46.997657
2026-03-01 1.409583 3.117849 6.066457 11.166026 19.329596 31.386661 49.913276
2026-03-08 1.283066 2.969439 5.971342 11.288799 19.967480 32.986273 53.254272
2026-03-15 1.153591 2.798250 5.820122 11.304665 20.432045 34.338253 56.270909
2026-03-22 1.082272 2.733149 5.849143 11.621174 21.383966 36.450483 60.468299
2026-03-29 1.003261 2.641466 5.820069 11.831468 22.166542 38.322570 64.352607
2026-04-05 0.911237 2.509187 5.702220 11.874423 22.668731 39.769464 67.626134
2026-04-12 0.786758 2.286161 5.388746 11.542021 22.519026 40.179306 69.312764
2026-04-19 0.685259 2.099674 5.127699 11.283278 22.474166 40.742950 71.239956
2026-04-26 0.592535 1.918605 4.858639 10.987249 22.343343 41.153816 72.927429
2026-05-03 0.513164 1.756982 4.612800 10.715118 22.234915 41.588109 74.652357
2026-05-10 0.438312 1.592977 4.343793 10.375446 21.982751 41.767446 75.963015
2026-05-17 0.401578 1.527560 4.285889 10.451751 22.487373 43.221936 79.364739